Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Early North Carolina voters more white, Republican, male

Early voters in North Carolina have been more Republican, more white, and more male than those demographics' respective representations among registered voters and voters in the 2008 general elections.*

North Carolina Democrats

North Carolina Republicans

North Carolina Women

North Carolina Men

North Carolina White

North Carolina Black


*A comparison of North Carolina early-voting by demographics compared to current voter registration and 2004 and 2008 turnout (through Oct. 27th, 2010). Early voter turnout reporting from Civitas Vote Tracker, registration statistics from N.C. Board of Elections, and historical statistics from George Mason University's U.S. Election Project. (Y axis is percentage of total for data set specified in legend.)

6 comments:

  1. Roch, if you rely on Civitas for unbiased vote tracking then you are as dumb as you look. Of course Civitas is going to show that more Republicans are voting as they are a conservative group.

    Are you also going to make a post showing that people who work in real estate want lower interest rates? Try and write something that's actual news for a change.

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  2. Dear Anonymoushole,

    Civitas says they are using information from the State Board of Elections and, lo and behold, they are. You may return to your fact-free conspiracy now.

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  3. Roch, if you can think of any way we Republicans can become less white or less male, let us know. We want to be more diverse, we just don't know how individuals to do so.

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  4. You just don't know how individuals to do so? Thanks for commenting.

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  5. Roch: Nice charts. I love good news graphics.

    Sorry for the nimrods above.

    In my analysis of RockCo, the Dems and African-American votes have started to pick up the last couple of days, but they still lag far behind previous years results.

    Do you think the trend will hold on Tuesday or will someone finally motivate the traditional Democratic base?

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  6. Hi Jeff,

    Thanks for commenting. The charts are courtesy of Google Charts. Slick and easy. Use the wizard if you want to make some of your own.

    Yeah, I think news reports that have been making a raw comparison of "more democrats to more republicans" are superficial. Comparison to past years and registration is going to be more revealing. Who knows what will happen on election day, but there is no question Republicans have a head start.

    Another thing I found interesting is that unaffiliated voters are way underrepresented so far. Since Republicans need them to compensate for their lesser numbers, if unaffiliateds underperform through election day, the Republican outperform could be all for not.

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